Page:Popular Science Monthly Volume 76.djvu/450

This page has been validated.
446
THE POPULAR SCIENCE MONTHLY

what we call our storms, but technically are called cyclones and anticyclones. It would be beyond my province to attempt to analyze the technical side of the theories of cyclones and anticyclones, and yet the subject of circulation would be so incomplete without at least alluding to the prominent attempts which have been made to solve these great questions that I shall venture a few remarks along this line.

The circulation of the air is classified as general and local, "general" applying to the whole hemisphere, of which some description has been given, and "local" as applying to the individual storms and their accompaniments. The local storms are known as cyclones and anticyclones, hurricanes, tornadoes and water spouts. They are all features or phases of the circulation and can be referred back to a few simple mathematical laws. Two attempts were made to solve the question of the general circulation, but the year 1896–7, which represents a new era in meteorology, when the international cloud observations were established under the leadership of Dr. Hildebrandsson, marks an epoch in the theory of the subject. I refer to those of Ferrel and Oberbeck regarding the general circulation. They had one picture in mind, namely, that of the simple canal, heated at one end, to which allusion was made in the early paragraphs of this lecture. They conceived the air to flow from the tropics northward towards the poles in the upper levels, and from the poles towards the equator in the lower levels, the northward current being separated from the southward current by a neutral plane along which there was no motion. Ferrel discussed the equations of motion adapted to the general hemisphere, and threw considerable light upon the subject. He conceived the rings of parallel 33° to move towards the poles with increasing velocity, and he made serious efforts to account for the fact that the velocity in higher latitudes is comparatively moderate instead of excessively great, as his equations demanded. If Ferrel derived an excessive velocity near the poles, Oberbeck, as a result of his complex integration, derived an excessive velocity in the upper levels over the tropics. Neither of these authors accounted for the reversal of direction from west to east at a moderate elevation, as 10,000 meters over the tropics, nor did they attempt to take into account the great irregularities in the circulation in an east and west direction, which we have described in discussing the centers of action. The result of the work of the Weather Bureau in the international cloud observations in the year 1896–7, was to destroy this theory of a neutral plane separating the upper northward current from the lower southward current. In place of that it was explained that these interchanging currents, instead of passing over each other at different levels, really interpenetrate and pass by each other on the same level; that is to say, warm air moves from the tropics towards the poles in all levels, and cold air from the poles towards the tropics in