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§ 21
AIRCRAFT IN WARFARE.

sent the "Blue" force, and it is seen that the "Reds" will be annihilated, the "Blues" losing only 400 men. If, on the other hand, the "Reds" by superior strategy compel the "Blues" to give battle divided—say into two equal armies—then Fig. 3b, in the first battle the 700 "Blues" will be annihilated with a loss of only 300 to the "Reds" and in the second battle the two armies will meet on an equal numerical footing, and so we may presume the final battle of the campaign as drawn. In this second case the result of the second battle is presumed from the initial equality of the forces; the curves are not given.

Fig 4.

In the case of equal forces the two conjugate curves become coincident; there is a single curve of logarithmic form. Fig. 4; the battle is prolonged indefinitely. Since the forces actually consist of a finite number of finite units (instead of an infinite number of infinitesimal units), the end of the curve must show discontinuity, and break off abruptly when the last man is reached; the law based on averages evidently does not hold rigidly when the numbers become small. Beyond this, the condition of two equal curves is unstable, and any advantage secured by either side will tend to augment.

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