This page has been validated.
xxii
Contents.
§ 5. | Probability only concerned with part of this enquiry. | |
6. | Difficulty of measuring our belief; | |
7. | Owing to intrusion of emotions, | |
8. | And complexity of the evidence. | |
9. | And when measured, is it always correct? | |
10, 11. | Distinction between logical and psychological views. | |
12—16. | Analogy of Formal Logic fails to show that we can thus detach and measure our belief. | |
17. | Apparent evidence of popular language to the contrary. | |
18. | How is full belief justified in inductive enquiry? | |
19—23. | Attempt to show how partial belief may be similarly justified. | |
24—28. | Extension of this explanation to cases which cannot be repeated in experience. | |
29. | Can other emotions besides belief be thus measured? | |
30. | Errors thus arising in connection with the Petersburg Problem. | |
31. 32. | The emotion of surprise is a partial exception. | |
33, 34. | Objective and subjective phraseology. | |
35. | The definition of probability, | |
36. | Introduces the notion of a 'limit', | |
37. | And implies, vaguely, some degree of belief. | |
CHAPTER VII. | ||
THE RULES OF INFERENCE IN PROBABILITY. | ||
§ 1. | Nature of these inferences. | |
2. | Inferences by addition and subtraction. | |
3. | Inferences by multiplication and division. | |
4—6. | Rule for independent events. | |
7. | Other rules sometimes introduced. | |
8. | All the above rules may be interpreted subjectively, i.e. in terms of belief. | |
9—11. | Rules of so-called Inverse Probability. | |
12, 13. | Nature of the assumption involved in them: | |
14—16. | Arbitrary character of this assumption. | |
17, 18. | Physical illustrations. | |