This page has been validated.
Discount Rate and Statistic | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Emissions Year |
5% Average |
3% Average |
2.5% Average |
3% 95th Percentile |
2020 | 14 | 51 | 76 | 152 |
2025 | 17 | 56 | 83 | 169 |
2030 | 19 | 62 | 89 | 187 |
2035 | 22 | 67 | 96 | 206 |
2040 | 25 | 73 | 103 | 225 |
2045 | 28 | 79 | 110 | 242 |
2050 | 32 | 85 | 116 | 260 |
Discount Rate and Statistic | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Emissions Year |
5% Average |
3% Average |
2.5% Average |
3% 95th Percentile |
2020 | 670 | 1500 | 2000 | 3900 |
2025 | 800 | 1700 | 2200 | 4500 |
2030 | 940 | 2000 | 2500 | 5200 |
2035 | 1100 | 2200 | 2800 | 6000 |
2040 | 1300 | 2500 | 3100 | 6700 |
2045 | 1500 | 2800 | 3500 | 7500 |
2050 | 1700 | 3100 | 3800 | 8200 |
- ↑ The values reported in this TSD are identical to those reported in the 2016 TSD adjusted for inflation to 2020 dollars using the annual GDP Implicit Price Deflator values in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’ (BEA) NIPA Table 1.1.9: 113.626 (2020)/ 92.486 (2007) = 1.228575 (U.S. BEA 2021). Values are the average across models and socioeconomic emissions scenarios for each of three discount rates (2.5%, 3%, and 5%), plus a fourth value, selected as the 95th percentile of estimates based on a 3 percent discount rate. Values of SC-CO2 are rounded to the nearest dollar; SC-CH4 and SC-N2O are rounded to two significant figures. The annual unrounded estimates are available on OMB’s website for use in regulatory and other analyses: https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/information-regulatoryaffairs/regulatory-matters/#scghgs
5