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APPENDIX. 407 Pembroke Lodge, Aug. 20, 1853. ' In case I miss you to-day, I will say all I have to say ' on this small bit of paper. ' I think the positive orders given to Stratford must ' produce their effect ; if not, they must be repeated and ' enforced. The Turks must be told that if they will not ' make this moderate concession, which is, after all, scarcely ' more than their own last Note, they must be prepared to ' see the Principalities occupied all the winter, for we can- ' not abet them in their obstinacy. ' On the other hand, the Emperor of Russia must not ' bo permitted to go beyond his present positions. He has ' no case for the invasion of Turkey. If ho crosses the ' Danube, our fleet must go to the Bosphorus ; but if he ' remains quiet, holding his material guarantee, he will ' have, before the spring, the diplomatic security he asks. ' The only danger is that the war party in Turkey may ' bring on a war by some imprudence — an attack on out- ' posts, or the like. In that case Russia can hardly be ' kept in leash, and we must take fresh counsel with our ' other three allies.' Lord Aberdeen had before this time expressed his con- currence with my proposed declaration. On the 29th of July he wrote in the following terms to Lord Clarendon : — ' I take for granted that you agree with Lord John in ' not giving to Stratford any option as to the acceptance ' by Turkey of our conditions, and that you adopt his pro- posed declaration. I think it quite necessary that this ' should be clearly understood by Stratford and the Turks.' Lord Aberdeen observed (August 20) that ho ' adhered 1 to every syllable ' of my letter — namely, the ono which I have just quoted. We must now pass to Constantinople. When the Aus- trian Note arrived there, the Turkish Minister understood