great ally would again block outside intervention. Thus when we look at the men in whose hands at this time such a fateful power of decision was placed, we find them, as the great crisis ap- proaches, themselves stunned by the enormity of the forces about to be unchained, seeking still and hoping for some fortunate escape; yet guided in their specific action, not by a general masterly grasp of the entire situation, such as is ordinarily expected of the diplomatic superman, but just by details happening to be most prominent in their mind, such as the incompatibility of arbitration with the honor of Austria, or the personal judg- ments and inclinations of individual diplomats. As to a correct estimate of how the forces would work out, as to foresight of determining factors, these men showed no unusual ability; in fact, the guess of the intelligent man on the street would have been as safe as their judgment. They stood on too narrow a base; they believed that Italy would remain neutral, that England would not enter the contest, and later that the United States would never engage in hostilities. When we con- 'Sider the mental attitude of the controllers of foreign affairs in all countries during this long period of secret manipulations, we can find noth- ing sacrosanct about the deductions and judgments
